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Moldova 2024 Presidential Election & EU Referendum

October 20, 2024 – November 3, 2024

Observers assessed the vote as well managed and it returned pro-EU incumbent Maia Sandu, even as a documented Russia-linked vote-buying and disinformation campaign — attributed to the Shor network — operated around it. Interference in the environment is separate from the integrity of the count.

Official results

Certified by Central Electoral Commission (CEC)Turnout 54.3%

Round 1

  • Maia Sandu42.5%
  • Alexandr Stoianoglo26%

Round 2

  • Maia Sandu55.4%
  • Alexandr Stoianoglo44.7%
Sources:12

The Integrity Ledger

What the evidence establishes, and what it does not — side by side, each finding sourced and tiered.

What is established

  • Foreign interferenceConfirmed

    A Russia-origin vote-buying operation run through the Shor network moved money to voters via the sanctioned Russian bank Promsvyazbank; it was documented by Moldovan police, DFRLab and Meta and matched by a U.S. sanctions designation.

    Sources:123
  • Information operationsCorroborated

    Coordinated disinformation accompanied the vote: Meta removed a network of fake Russian-language news brands, and forged letters impersonating EU and Moldovan bodies circulated.

    Sources:12

What is not established

  • Result falsificationDebunked

    That the count or certified results were falsified — not established. ODIHR assessed the administration as professional and impartial and the EU endorsed the results.

    Sources:12
  • Foreign interferenceAlleged

    Direct Kremlin command-and-control of the operations is not conclusively established; DFRLab characterised the activity as pro-Russian, and the U.S. framed intelligence coordination as likely rather than proven.

    Sources:12
  • Process violationsAlleged

    That vote-buying determined the outcome — not established. No authoritative finding quantifies how many votes were actually cast as a result of payments.

    Sources:1

Process assessment

ODIHR concluded both presidential rounds and the referendum were well managed and that contestants campaigned freely despite illicit foreign interference and active disinformation efforts, and assessed the election administration as professional and impartial.

Sources:1

Sources6

Observer reportOSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR)March 14, 2025
Moldova, presidential election and referendum 2024 — ODIHR final report
OriginalArchived
Official reportEuropean External Action Service (EEAS)November 4, 2024
Moldova: EU joint statement on the second round of the presidential election
OriginalArchived
ResearchAtlantic Council Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab)October 18, 2024
Malign interference in Moldova ahead of the presidential election and European referendum
OriginalArchived
DatasetCentral Electoral Commission of Moldova (CEC)November 3, 2024
Official results, 2024 Moldovan presidential election and referendum
OriginalArchive pending
Official reportU.S. Department of StateSeptember 13, 2024
U.S. response to corruption and election interference in Moldova
OriginalArchived
JournalismThe Moscow TimesOctober 3, 2024
Moldova uncovers “unprecedented” pro-Russia vote rigging
OriginalArchived