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United States 2016 Presidential Election

November 8, 2016

A Russian influence campaign, social-media operations and hack-and-leak were documented by U.S. official investigations. That vote-counting systems altered the recorded result was not established.

Official results

Certified by U.S. Electoral College (certified by Congress)Turnout 60.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D)48.2%65,853,514

    Popular-vote plurality; 227 electoral votes

  • Donald Trump (R)46.1%62,984,828

    Won the Electoral College, 304 votes

Sources:1

The Integrity Ledger

What the evidence establishes, and what it does not — side by side, each finding sourced and tiered.

What is established

  • Foreign interferenceConfirmed

    The Russian government interfered in the election in what the Mueller Report called a “sweeping and systematic fashion”; the Intelligence Community assessed that President Putin ordered an influence campaign that developed a preference for candidate Trump.

    Sources:12
  • Information operationsConfirmed

    The Internet Research Agency ran a social-media operation impersonating Americans and buying political ads; 13 Russian nationals and three entities were indicted in February 2018.

    Sources:123
  • Foreign interferenceConfirmed

    GRU military-intelligence officers (Units 26165 and 74455) hacked the DNC, DCCC and Clinton-campaign accounts and staged the release of stolen material via “Guccifer 2.0” and DCLeaks.

    Sources:12
  • Foreign interferenceConfirmed

    Russian actors probed and targeted U.S. election infrastructure at the state and local level from at least 2014.

    Sources:123

What is not established

  • Result falsificationDebunked

    That vote tallies were altered or voting machines manipulated — not established. DHS assessed the systems Russian actors targeted were not involved in vote tallying, and the Senate Committee saw no evidence votes were changed.

    Sources:12
  • Information operationsAlleged

    That the interference changed the outcome — not established. The Intelligence Community explicitly made no assessment of the campaign’s impact on the result.

    Sources:1
  • Foreign interferenceContested

    The Special Counsel’s investigation did not establish that the Trump campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government — an official finding of insufficient evidence, not an exoneration.

    Sources:1

Sources7

Official reportU.S. Office of the Director of National IntelligenceJanuary 6, 2017
Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US Elections (ICA 2017-01D)
OriginalArchive pending
Official reportU.S. Department of Justice, Office of the Special CounselApril 18, 2019
Report on the Investigation into Russian Interference in the 2016 Presidential Election (Mueller Report)
OriginalArchived
Official reportU.S. Senate Select Committee on IntelligenceJuly 25, 2019
SSCI Report on Russian Active Measures, Volume I: Russian Efforts Against Election Infrastructure
OriginalArchived
Official reportU.S. Senate Select Committee on IntelligenceOctober 8, 2019
SSCI Report on Russian Active Measures, Volume II: Russia’s Use of Social Media
OriginalArchived
Official reportU.S. Federal Election CommissionJanuary 2017
Official 2016 U.S. presidential election results
OriginalArchived
IndictmentU.S. Department of Justice / Office of the Special CounselFebruary 16, 2018
United States v. Internet Research Agency LLC et al. (indictment)
OriginalArchived
IndictmentU.S. Department of Justice / Office of the Special CounselJuly 13, 2018
United States v. Netyksho et al. (GRU indictment)
OriginalArchived