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Election watch

Bosnia and HerzegovinaParliamentary

Bosnia and Herzegovina 2026 General Election

in 27 daysOctober 4, 2026

Elects the tripartite Presidency, the state House of Representatives, and the entity-level assemblies. Held every four years under the Election Law.

A general election in a state whose constitutional order is itself contested by part of its own leadership, held under a system where ethnicity determines what a citizen may vote for. Bosnia is a standing test of the difference between an election that is administered correctly and one that is genuinely free and fair — the two questions this database keeps separate everywhere.

What to watch

Each point is classified under the same five categories as a documented finding, so an upcoming election reads with the same frame as a past one.

  • Process violations

    Whether the ethnicity-based restrictions on candidacy, repeatedly found to breach the European Convention on Human Rights, remain in force at this election.

  • Process violations

    Whether entity-level authorities recognise the state election commission's authority over the count, and whether results are certified without parallel disputed tallies.

  • Information operations

    Whether secession and delegitimisation narratives are amplified around the vote, and whether they are sourced domestically or externally.

    See the source
  • Information operations

    Documented country-targeting precedent, not evidence of activity in Bosnia and Herzegovina's 2026 campaign: Portal Kombat operated a Bosnia-targeted domain within its wider network. Watch for automated republication, localised domains and search manipulation.

    See the source

Precedent, not prediction

Documented past → this vote

Each is a past, documented case linked to this vote as precedent — not a claim that it is active here. Watch for reuse of the technique, not the name.

Documented past

Russia · TigerWeb and an unidentified commissioning operator · 2013 – ongoing

Portal Kombat

Confirmed

A structured network of country- and locality-targeted portals that mass-republishes Russian and pro-Russian sources. VIGINUM expanded its inventory from 193 to 224 portals in early 2024, covering almost every EU member state and additional European audiences shortly before the European Parliament election.

Watch for reuse

Documented technique precedent
country-targeted portal networksautomated content republishingsearch-engine optimisationlocalised domain infrastructuresource laundering
View the operation

Sources cited above

Official reportCouncil of the European UnionDecember 16, 2024
Russian hybrid threats: EU agrees first listings, targeting the Doppelganger campaign
OriginalArchived
Official reportVIGINUM, French SGDSNApril 29, 2024
Portal Kombat: extension of the Russian propaganda network
OriginalArchived

Where the date comes from

Scheduled dates come from national election authorities and are linked above. Dates can move; where one is not yet fixed by decree it is marked as expected rather than confirmed. Listing an election here is not a prediction that anything improper will occur — it is a statement about what would be worth checking if it did.

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