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HeldFiji

Fiji 2022 General Election

December 14, 2022

FijiFirst won the largest vote and 26 of 55 seats but lost its majority. A four-hour anomaly in the public provisional-results app became the central integrity controversy. Observer evidence separates that incident from the legal count: the app displayed a wrongly transferred provisional dataset, while official results were produced later from original polling-station protocols through a blind double-entry process. The Multinational Observer Group found speculation that the glitch enabled an official re-tabulation unfounded. SODELPA then backed a People's Alliance–NFP coalition, and Parliament elected Sitiveni Rabuka prime minister by 28 votes to 27.

Official results

Certified by Electoral Commission of Fiji
Sources:1

The Integrity Ledger

What the evidence establishes, and what it does not — side by side, each finding sourced and tiered.

What is established

  • Process violationsConfirmed

    The provisional-results app displayed incorrect data for roughly four hours on election night.

    More detail

    The election authority's review described a human transfer error: the wrong dataset was copied from the results-management system into the public app. The app was taken offline and restored with corrected provisional data. Even though it was not the legal tally, the incident was a real communication and verification failure in a close election.

    Sources:12

What is not established

  • Result falsificationDebunked

    The app anomaly did not provide evidence that officials re-tabulated or changed the official result.

    More detail

    The provisional display and the official count were separate processes. The MOG observed the official tabulation from original polling-station protocols, which used blind double entry, audit triggers and party access to records. It assessed speculation that the app incident created an opportunity to re-tabulate the official result as unfounded.

    Sources:1
  • Statistical anomaliesDebunked

    The abrupt change in the app's provisional trend was a corrected display error, not a vote-swing time series.

    More detail

    Provisional totals were reset when the wrong transferred dataset was removed. Treating the before-and-after screen values as successive batches of counted votes creates a false statistical series. The legal result came from a new final tally based on original protocols, not from continuing the erroneous app display.

    Sources:12

Process assessment

The public-results incident was serious because the app was meant to make a close count understandable in real time. It was also bounded: observers could distinguish the faulty provisional display from the later official double-entry tally and access to polling-station records. Final seat allocation produced no majority, and government formation was resolved through a one-vote parliamentary ballot and peaceful transfer.

Sources:123

Statistical notes

Sources4

Official reportElectoral Commission of FijiDecember 19, 2022
Declaration of results for Fiji's 2022 general election
OriginalArchive pending
Observer reportMultinational Observer GroupApril 2023
Multinational Observer Group final report on Fiji's 2022 general election
OriginalArchive pending
Official reportFijian Electoral Commission and Supervisor of ElectionsNovember 2023
2022 General Election joint report
OriginalArchive pending
Official reportParliament of the Republic of FijiDecember 24, 2022
Parliamentary record of the 24 December 2022 prime-minister vote
OriginalArchive pending

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